Date: 20 January 2017 06:13
With the hosts boasting an excellent defensive record and the visitors conceding goals freely, we are backing the Yellow Submarine to record a win
With Levante's relegation last season, Saturday's trip to Villarreal is the closest thing that Valencia will get to a derby this season, although if Los Che do not improve considerably they could be joining their cross-city rivals in the second tier of Spanish football.
Last weekend brought Valencia's first league win for three months as the side overcame Espanyol 2-1 to put a four point gap between themselves and the relegation zone.
However, they remain 17th in the table and know that this weekend they face one of the toughest away trips of the season, travelling 60km north to face the Yellow Submarine. Villarreal do not lose many home matches and their last two league games at the newly christened Estadio de la Ceramica have seen them thrash Atletico Madrid 3-0 and draw 1-1 with Barcelona.
Fran Escriba's men have played nine home fixtures in La Liga this season, winning six, drawing two and losing just a solitary game. Those positive results have come against some of the best teams in the Primera Division as well with Barca and Atletio joining, Sevilla, Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad in failing to win away at Villareal this term.
The task for Valencia is a daunting one despite their win last weekend, and bet365 who are live streaming the game for UK based customers offer an away win at 3/1 (4.00). The draw meanwhile is offered at 13/5 (3.60) although the smart money should surely be going on Villarreal at 9/10 (1.90).
The hosts have shown themselves incredibly difficult to beat this season primarily because of their rock solid defence which is the meanest in the division. Villarreal have conceded just 12 goals in 18 top flight matches this term, with no team bettering their total of eight clean sheets.
This should give them a decent base upon which to build against their struggling opponents, while Valencia's defensive record is in stark contrast to that of Villarreal's. Los Che have not kept a clean sheet in La Liga for 25 games with their last shutout coming in April 2016 at home to Eibar, while Valencia's last clean sheet away from home came on 12th September 2015 at Sporting Gijon.
If we expect Valencia to concede therefore, and think that Villarreal can keep another clean sheet, then a home win seems like a logical selection and the price offered looks healthy enough for our investment.
Villarreal to win at 9/10 (1.90) for a 2.5pt stake with bet365